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Beat the Bookies: Week 40
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 03/05/2006
LAST week was a good week for Beat the Bookies with Torquay's win at Carlisle and Rushden's relegation. With Carlisle's league title all but in the bag it ensures a profitable return for the season!
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Home > 2005-2006 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 40 |
Grimsby need to beat Northampton at home to maximise their chances of automatic promotion. The bookies favour Grimsby with to win. bet365.com are offering 4/5 for a Town win, 11/4 for a Northampton win and 5/2 for a draw. If the match meant anything for Northampton I'd grab 11/4 for an away win with both hands for a team that has picked up 16 points from 18 and won their last three away games. Even as it stands it still looks a good price considering Grimsby's injury crisis going into the final game. The Cobblers are bound to be up for it with a full away end as well.
Moving on to the Oxford game. The bookies think this will be closer than the match at Blundell Park, with bet365.com making Leyton Orient only slight favourites at 6/5. Oxford are 13/8. Oxford were poor the other week when I saw them lose at home to Northampton, but I don't think Orient are as defensively strong as the Cobblers and Oxford, who have some good players in their squad, might have more of a chance. I can see the game ending in a draw, giving Grimsby a lifeline.
Interestingly Town's overall chances of getting automatic promotion work out at about 1 in 3.
Elsewhere in League Two Lincoln look certain to beat Rochdale at home (4/6). Carlisle are also an attractively priced 2/1 to win at Stockport with bet365.com.
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RECOMMENDED BET OF THE WEEK: Northampton to beat Grimsby (11/4) |
Previous Bets (around £10 per week)
| Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Rushden to get relegated | 5/2 | +£25.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 03/08 | Sell Lincoln in League Two 60 Index | bought at 13 sold at 7 | +£12.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10/08 | Rob Jones to score v Chester | 12/1 | £0.00
| 17/08 | Buy Scunthorpe in the Mini Performance Index vs Forest | bought@16 | actual 35 +£11.97 | 24/08 | Rob Jones to score v Derby | 33/1 | -£10.00 | 31/08 | Northampton to beat Wycombe | 2/1 | -£10.00 | 13/09 | Carlisle to beat Cheltenham | 2/1 | +£20.00 | 19/09 | Grimsby to beat Spurs | 5/1 | +£50.00 | 26/09 | Hull to beat Norwich | 16/5 | -£10.00 | 05/10 | Grimsby v Wycombe total goals | bought at 2.8 | actual 1 -£9.00 | 11/10 | England v Poland total goals | bought at 2.6 | actual 3 +£4.00 | 17/10 | Woking to beat Forest | 11/4 | +£27.50 | 24/10 | Grimsby to beat Newcastle | 6/1 | -£10.00 | 02/11 | Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby | 10/3 | +£33.33 | 08/11 | Macclesfield to beat Grimsby | 7/2 | -£10.00 | 16/11 | Tommy Mooney to score against Grimsby | 5/4 | -£10.00 | 23/11 | Carlisle v Wycombe: buy total goals | bought at 2.9 | actual 1 -£9.50 | 29/11 | Grays to beat Mansfield | 9/5 | -£10.00 | 06/12 | Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby | 7/2 | +£35.00 | 14/12 | Wycombe to beat Bury | 6/5 | -£10.00 | 20/12 | Various Xmas Upsets | various | -£11.50 | 29/12 | Hull to beat Leeds | 4/1 | -£10.00 | 04/01 | Arsenal not to beat Cardiff | 9/2 | -£10.00 | 11/01 | Carlisle to beat Shrewsbury | 7/5 | -£10.00 | 18/01 | Grimsby to beat Torquay | Evens | -£10.00 | 24/01 | Cheltenham to beat Newcastle | 5/1 | -£10.00 | 31/01 | West Ham to beat Sunderland | 8/15 | +£5.33 | 09/02 | Carlisle to win League Two | 11/2 | In progress | 17/02 | Rochdale to beat Grimsby | 7/4 | 0.00 | 22/02 | Peterborough to beat Bristol Rovers | 5/6 | -£10.00 | 01/03 | Fulham to beat Arsenal | 11/5 | -£10.00 | 07/03 | Lincoln to beat Rushden | 4/6 | -£10.00 | 15/03 | Rushden to beat Leyton Orient | 9/5 | +£18.00 | 22/03 | West Ham to beat Wigan | 11/4 | +£27.50 | 29/03 | Wrexham to beat Grimsby | 10/3 | -£10.00 | 05/04 | Carlisle to beat Grimsby | Evens | +£10.00 | 11/04 | Rushden to beat Rochdale | 6/5 | -£10.00 | 18/04 | Lincoln to draw with Leyton Orient | 9/4 | +£22.50 | 26/04 | Torquay to win at Carlisle | 9/2 | +£45.00 | Total | | +£147.13 | | |
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