Cheers Morecambe! |
Beat the Bookies: Week 31
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 12/03/2009
BOTH bets won last week in what was pretty much a perfect weekend for the Mariners. Let's hope this coming weekend will be in the same vein!
Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 31 |
Rochdale v Rotherham. Rochdale are very inconsistent at the moment, whereas Rotherham are on fire, and currently top of the form table. The Millers have nothing to lose and can play with complete abandon. Rochdale with all those years of hurt behind them could retreat into their shells. Rotherham can be backed at 16/5 Selection: Rotherham
Aldershot v Luton. Aldershot's recent form has been that of a relegation side, and they have already achieved what they set out to do this season in staying in the league. Luton still have a fighting chance of staying up and should win this. Luton are a very tasty 2/1 with Bet365. Selection: Luton
Chester v Grimsby. Grimsby's recent results have not been good in the main, but Chester's have been even worse! Town have generally been playing the division's top sides of late and they really should go on and beat City. Town can be backed at 13/8. Selection: Grimsby
Macclesfield v Bournemouth. Bournemouth are not out of trouble yet and need a few wins more. This should be one of them against a Macclesfield side with little to play for. The Cherries are favourites at 6/4. Selection: Bournemouth
Morecambe v Barnet. Barnet have had a great run of results recently but so have Morecambe! Barnet in general do not travel well and the home side should win this being both the form horse and the class horse. The Shrimpers can be backed at Evens. Selection: Morecambe
This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds - as per last year
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
Recommended Spread Bet
- Odds not available - see later
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 80/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
05/03 | Morecambe to beat Dagenham | 13/5 | +£26.00 |
05/03 | Barnet to beat Chester | 4/5 | +£8.00 |
26/02 | Bournemouth to beat Gillingham | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
26/02 | Barnet to beat Chesterfield | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
20/02 | Barnet to beat Bradford | 5/2 | +£25.00 |
20/02 | Morecambe to beat Aldershot | 11/4 | +£27.50 |
13/02 | Barnet to beat Notts County | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
13/02 | Exeter to beat Aldershot | 10/11 | +£9.09 |
05/02 | Dagenham to beat Bury | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Grimsby to beat Bradford | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Macclesfield to beat Rotherham | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
21/01 | Ipswich (+2) to beat Chelsea (0) | 4/5 | £0.00 |
21/01 | Tottenham to beat Man Utd | 8/1 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Lincoln to beat Rochdale | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Luton to beat Darlington | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
06/01 | Exeter to beat Notts County | 6/4 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Accrington to beat Rochdale | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Bournemouth to beat Darlington | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Luton to beat Chesterfield | 14/5 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Port Vale to beat Rotherham | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Bournemouth to beat Brentford | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale | 9/4 | -£10.00 |
16/12 | Grimsby to beat Aldershot | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
16/12 | Lincoln to beat Notts County | 7/4 | +£17.50 |
11/12 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
11/12 | Bournemouth to beat Rochdale | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Bournemouth to beat Chester | Evens | +£10.00 |
04/12 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 10/11 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Aldershot beat Millwall | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Alferton beat Scunthorpe | 17/2 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Notts Co to beat Dagenham | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Gillingham to beat Bury | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 9/2 | +£45.00 |
11/11 | Gillingham to beat Rotherham | 5/4 | +£12.50 |
06/11 | Northampton to beat Leeds | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to beat Morecambe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Bradford to beat MK Dons | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
31/10 | Dagenham to beat Accrington | 5/6 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Luton to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to beat Dagenham | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Port Vale to beat Aldershot | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Rotherham to beat Macclesfield | 8/5 | +£16.00 |
22/10 | Luton to beat Bury | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
14/10 | Brentford to beat Aldershot | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Port Vale to beat Chester | 2/1 | +£20.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to beat Wycombe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Barnet to beat Dagenham | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe | 6/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Dagenham to beat Peterborough | 5/1 | +£50.00 |
30/09 | Shrewsbury beat Darlington | 2/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Brentford to beat Macclesfield | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
24/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Rotherham to beat Dagenham | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Dagenham to beat Wycombe | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Macclesfield to beat Port Vale | 7/2 | +£35.00 |
09/09 | Rotherham to beat Rochdale | 11/10 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Port Vale to beat Darlington | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Dag & Red to beat Brentford | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Rotherham to beat Chesterfield | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Chester to beat Barnet | 17/10 | +£17.00 |
28/08 | Rotherham to beat Brentford | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Lincoln to win at Wycombe | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Port Vale to beat Dag & Red | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Bradford to win at Macclesfield | 13/10 | +£13.00 |
15/08 | Rotherham to win at Morecambe | 21/10 | +£21.00 |
06/08 | Rochdale to beat Grimsby | 17/10 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | +£10.52 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26/02 | Rochdale v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance | 16 | 0 | S | -£16.00 |
13/02 | Grimsby v Bury - buy Bury Mini Performance | 27 | 45 | B | +£18.00 |
30/01 | Wycombe v Accrington - sell Wycombe Mini Performance | 32 | 45 | S | -£13.00 |
21/01 | Bournemouth v Wycombe - buy Bournemouth Mini Performance | 21 | 55 | S | +£34.00 |
15/01 | Wycombe v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance | 14 | 35 | S | +£21.00 |
04/12 | Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance | 21 | 10 | B | -£6.00 |
04/12 | Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance | 21 | 55 | S | -£34.00 |
19/11 | Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance | 25 | 45 | S | +£20.00 |
31/10 | Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance | 26 | 0 | S | -£26.00 |
22/10 | Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance | 19 | 10 | S | +£9.00 |
14/10 | Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance | 14 | 65 | S | -£51.00 |
09/10 | Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 19 | 20 | S | -£1.00 |
24/09 | Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 21 | 10 | S | +£11.00 |
17/09 | Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance | 30 | 20 | S | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance | 21 | B | 55 | +£34.00 |
04/09 | Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance | 23 | S | 0 | -£23.00 |
28/08 | Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 38 | B | 20 | +£8.00 |
19/08 | Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance | 38 | B | 55 | +£17.00 |
15/08 | Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 31 | S | 55 | -£24.00 |
06/08 | Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance | 20 | S | 0 | +£20.00 |
Total | -£12.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
05/03 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
26/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
20/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
13/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
05/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
21/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 16/1 | -£10.00 |
17/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 16/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | -£310.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
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