Put it on Town! |
Beat the Bookies: Week 16
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 03/12/2009
AFTER a couple weeks of ill health and general inertia (and of course losses) Beat the Bookies is back, looking at the League Two Betting scene.
Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 14 |
Grimsby v Dagenham Neither side have had many wins recently, and Dagenham were thrashed 5-2 at home in midweek. Other recent results mean Town really have to go for wins at home, draws are not good enough at Blundell Park. It's about time Town did the business after coming close at Macclesfield and the 5/2 on offer for a home win against an out of form side looks good value. Selection: Grimsby
Bournemouth v Shrewsbury There's been a lot of draws in League Two recently, and these two teams seems to have been involved in a lot of them (along with us)! In truth there's not a lot to choose between the sides and it's hard to see why the Shrews are 3/1. Selection: Shrewsbury
Rochdale v Macclesfield Rochdale are the in-form team but they've had quite a few upsets this season at home and at 11/2 anyone in this division is worth a punt especially in a local derby. Selection: Macclesfield
Rotherham v Burton Albion Rotherham have done well recently but most of their fixtures have been against the poorer sides so their recent form might flatter them. At 9/2 Burton are worth considering. They are a steady side who don't often lose heavily. Selection: Burton Albion
This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
- 1. Grimsby to beat Dagenham. . (5/2. bet365)
- 2. Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth. . (15/4, 888.com)
Recommended Spread Bet
- No bet this week
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 33/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
20/11 | Grimsby to beat Lincoln | 11/4 | -£20.00 |
13/11 | Grimsby to beat Northampton | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
13/11 | Torquay to beat Shrewsbury | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
05/11 | Darlington to beat Barnet | 11/2 | -£10.00 |
05/11 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
16/10 | Grimsby to beat Rochdale | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
16/10 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
08/10 | Barnet to beat Rochdale | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
08/10 | Torquay to beat Notts Co | 8/1 | -£10.00 |
02/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
02/10 | Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe | 6/4 | -£10.00 |
25/09 | Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals | 4/5 | +£8.00 |
25/09 | Morecambe to beat Dagenham | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Man City to beat Man Utd | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 6/5 | -£10.00 |
10/09 | Bradford to beat Burton | Evens | -£10.00 |
10/09 | Lincoln to beat Bournemouth | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
03/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 5/2 | +£25.00 |
03/09 | Chesterfield to beat Rotherham | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
27/08 | Bury to beat Rochdale | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
27/08 | Lincoln to beat Dagenham | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
20/08 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 7/5 | +£45.00 |
20/08 | Dagenham to beat Notts County | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
14/08 | Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
14/08 | Bournemouth to beat Rotherham | 7/5 | +£14.00 |
05/08 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
05/08 | Bournemouth to beat Bury | 12/5 | +£24.00 |
01/08 | Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW) | 16/1 | Open |
01/08 | Morecambe to be relegated | 11/1 | Open |
Total | -£52.73 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22/10 | Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 30/td> | S | 75 | -£45.00 |
16/10 | Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance | 28 | S | 10 | +£10.00 |
25/09 | Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance | 15 | B | 10 | -£5.00 |
17/09 | Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance | 21 | B | 45 | +£24.00 |
27/08 | Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 33 | S | 20 | +£13.00 |
20/08 | Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance | 28 | S | 30 | -£2.00 |
14/08 | Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance | 23 | S | 30 | -£7.00 |
Total | +£6.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
28/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
24/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
21/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
13/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
10/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
05/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 11/1 | -£10.00 |
30/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
16/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
08/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
03/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
25/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 14/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
10/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
03/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
27/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
20/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
18/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
11/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
05/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | -£230.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
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