Cheers Accrington! |
Beat the Bookies: Week 18
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 16/12/2009
ACCRINGTON finally broke Beat the Bookies's losing streak, and in some style. A 7/1 winner paid out £70 in last week's tip. Sadly Darlo did not oblige with a double, instead they were thrashed again!
Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 16 |
Grimsby v Morecambe. Morecambe's record in the last five games is quite simply perfect: 5 wins, scored 15, conceded 0. With Town's recent scoring record Morecambe would seem to be guaranteed a point just by turning up with their defence. The bookies are offering Evens for a Morecambe win, but with Grimsby forced to make a defensive change with Olly Lancashire out, the odds would seem to be a little better than that. Selection: Morecambe
Bury v Macclesfield. Both of these clubs are inconsistent at the moment, and all three results would seem possible. The fact that it's a local derby though means Bury's good home record might be tested more than a more distant club might manage. 9/2 for an away win looks a shade generous and it might well be worth backing the Silkmen who had a good win last week. Selection: Macclesfield
Bournemouth v Notts County. The bookies have finally cottoned on to the fact that Notts County's bubble could well have burst. Bournemouth are favourites to win this game, a fixture which County won just a few weeks ago in the cup. The Cherries though are definitely not the side they were earlier in the season and you have to wonder if the bookies have actually strayed too far in the opposite direction. You can pick up Notts County for 9/4. Selection: Notts County
Accrington v Barnet. Accrington are on a tremendous run at the moment whereas Barnet are sinking rapidly down the league. There really does look only one result on Friday night and you can still get Evens with Betfred for a home win. Selection: Accrington This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
- 1. Morecambe to beat Grimsby. . (Evens, Bet365)
- 2. Accrington to beat Barmet. . (Evens, Betfred)
Recommended Spread Bet
- No bet this week
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 33/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
10/12 | Accrington to beat Notts County | 7/1 | +£70.00 |
10/12 | Darlington to beat Torquay | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
03/12 | Grimsby to beat Dagenham | 5/2 | -£10.00 |
03/12 | Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
20/11 | Grimsby to beat Lincoln | 11/4 | -£20.00 |
13/11 | Grimsby to beat Northampton | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
13/11 | Torquay to beat Shrewsbury | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
05/11 | Darlington to beat Barnet | 11/2 | -£10.00 |
05/11 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
22/10 | Darlington to beat Barnet | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
16/10 | Grimsby to beat Rochdale | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
16/10 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
08/10 | Barnet to beat Rochdale | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
08/10 | Torquay to beat Notts Co | 8/1 | -£10.00 |
02/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
02/10 | Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe | 6/4 | -£10.00 |
25/09 | Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals | 4/5 | +£8.00 |
25/09 | Morecambe to beat Dagenham | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Man City to beat Man Utd | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 6/5 | -£10.00 |
10/09 | Bradford to beat Burton | Evens | -£10.00 |
10/09 | Lincoln to beat Bournemouth | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
03/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 5/2 | +£25.00 |
03/09 | Chesterfield to beat Rotherham | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
27/08 | Bury to beat Rochdale | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
27/08 | Lincoln to beat Dagenham | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
20/08 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 7/5 | +£45.00 |
20/08 | Dagenham to beat Notts County | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
14/08 | Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
14/08 | Bournemouth to beat Rotherham | 7/5 | +£14.00 |
05/08 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
05/08 | Bournemouth to beat Bury | 12/5 | +£24.00 |
01/08 | Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW) | 16/1 | Open |
01/08 | Morecambe to be relegated | 11/1 | Open |
Total | -£22.73 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/12 | Macclesfield v Hereford: Sell Macclesfield mini-performance | 24/td> | S | 55 | -£31.00 |
22/10 | Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 30/td> | S | 75 | -£45.00 |
16/10 | Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance | 28 | S | 10 | +£10.00 |
25/09 | Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance | 15 | B | 10 | -£5.00 |
17/09 | Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance | 21 | B | 45 | +£24.00 |
27/08 | Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 33 | S | 20 | +£13.00 |
20/08 | Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance | 28 | S | 30 | -£2.00 |
14/08 | Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance | 23 | S | 30 | -£7.00 |
Total | -£25.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
10/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
03/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
24/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
21/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
13/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
10/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
05/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 11/1 | -£10.00 |
30/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
16/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
08/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
03/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
25/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 14/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
10/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
03/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
27/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
20/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
18/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
11/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
05/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | -£250.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
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