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Football Underachievers (Next Three Days)
This xPts vs Pts value-bets table highlights teams whose recent results differ sharply from their underlying performance. It compares actual points (Pts) with expected points (xPts) over the last 10 matches to identify sides that may be over‑ or under-performing. A large gap can signal potential value when set against the latest 1x2 odds. The fixtures are ranked by the strongest expected returns, but punters should still check team news, injuries, and rotation to understand why recent performance may not match the underlying numbers.
| Match Date | Competition | Game | Value Bet | xPts | Pts | Diff | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 00:30 | MLSMLS | New York City v Toronto FC | Toronto FC | 12.63 | 5 | -7.63 | |
| Sun 00:30 | MLSMLS | Philadelphia v Atlanta United | Philadelphia | 15.86 | 10 | -5.86 | |
| Sun 01:30 | MLSMLS | Minnesota United v San Diego | San Diego | 14.73 | 9 | -5.73 | 3.45 |
| Sat 17:00 | Swiss Super LeagueSL | Basel v Lausanne Sports | Lausanne Sports | 12.66 | 7 | -5.66 | 3.55 |
| Sun 01:30 | MLSMLS | Minnesota United v San Diego | Minnesota United | 17.55 | 12 | -5.55 | 2.03 |
| Sun 00:30 | MLSMLS | Philadelphia v Atlanta United | Atlanta United | 13.41 | 8 | -5.41 | |
| Sun 01:30 | MLSMLS | Chicago v Charlotte FC | Charlotte FC | 15.19 | 11 | -4.19 | 5.20 |
| Sun 03:45 | MLSMLS | Portland v Seattle | Seattle | 15.03 | 11 | -4.03 | 3.00 |
| Sun 00:30 | MLSMLS | Montreal v New England | Montreal | 16.01 | 12 | -4.01 |