League Two Form Guide

		P	GD	Pts
1	MK Dons	6	+7	15
2	Port Vale	6	+5	15
3	Walsall	6	+6	12
4	Crewe	6	+4	11
5	Cheltenham	6	+2	11
6	Chesterfield	6	+3	10
7	Accrington Stanley	6	+3	9
8	Salford	6	+1	9
9	Doncaster	6	+1	9
10	Notts County	6	0	9
11	Bradford	6	+1	8
12	AFC Wimbledon	6	+2	7
13	Bromley	6	0	7
14	Harrogate Town	6	-1	7
15	Grimsby	6	-4	7
16	Colchester	6	-1	6
17	Carlisle	6	-2	6
18	Fleetwood Town	6	-2	6
19	Newport County	6	-2	6
20	Tranmere	6	-4	6
21	Morecambe	6	-7	6
22	Gillingham	6	-4	4
23	Barrow	6	-4	3
24	Swindon	6	-5	2

Full Form Table
Prem|Champ|L1|NL|VN|VS
SPL|SC|S1|S2

Question of the Week

Is football a business or a sport?

Beat the Bookies

Beat the Bookies: Week 18

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 04/12/2008

LAST week's foray into the FA Cup proved singularly unsuccessful, so this week we return to League Two when coincidentally there are some very important games at the bottom of the table.

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 18

Port Vale v Grimsby. With both clubs not doing very well at the moment this is a very hard game to call. Town as we know have improved of late, but there results haven't necessarily reflected that. If you are brave you may be tempted by 11/4 for a Town win, but 23/10 for a draw might be slightly more realistic.

Bournemouth v Chester. Sadly its hard to see anything but a home win in this game. Bournemouth simply must win it, they are at home, they are a better team than Chester anyway. Three points to the Cherries looks a formality. They can be baked at Evens with Paddy Power.

Luton v Barnet. This falls into the same category as the Bournemouth and a home win is likely. If anything though Barnet have got a slightly better chance than Chester purely because Luton's recent form is so terrible, but still expect a home win which is available at 10/11

Aldershot v Wycombe. Both clubs suffered FA Cup defeats at the weekend, despite the excellent League Two form the pair are experiencing. Wycombe however have already bounced back with a comfortable win over Macclesfield in midweek. As Wycombe are yet to lose a game this season and Aldershot have won there last four without conceding a goal something has to give. This looks like being a low scoring game, but at 11/8 the Chairboys are probably the better value.

Gillingham v Chesterfield. Both clubs had been doing well but have slipped up in their last couple of games and dropped points. In truth there looks little to separate the two sides which makes the 5/2 price for an away win a little baffling.

Bradford v Dagenham. Dagenham are having a great season but they do not travel well. It's true that Bradford are not as strong on their own ground as they should be, but even so this looks like another home banker for a team who have picked up 4 wins out of 6. You can back City at 10/11

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

Fixed Odds - as per last year
Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

1. Bournemouth to beat Chester. (Evens, Paddy Power)
2. Bradford to beat Dagenham. (10/11 Bet365),

Recommended Spread Bet

Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance (21) at www.igsport.com

The Monkey's Bet

Grimsby to win 3-1, 33/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
28/11	Aldershot beat Millwall	13/2	-£10.00
28/11	Alferton beat Scunthorpe	17/2	-£10.00
19/11	Notts Co to beat Dagenham	12/5	-£10.00
19/11	Gillingham to beat Bury	19/10	-£10.00
11/11	Grimsby to beat Bury	9/2	+£45.00
11/11	Gillingham to beat Rotherham	5/4	+£12.50
06/11	Northampton to beat Leeds	13/2	-£10.00
06/11	Grimsby to beat Morecambe	11/4	-£10.00
06/11	Bradford to beat MK Dons	11/2	+£55.00
31/10	Dagenham to beat Accrington	5/6	-£10.00
31/10	Luton to beat Shrewsbury	4/1	-£10.00
27/10	Grimsby to beat Dagenham	4/1	-£10.00
27/10	Port Vale to beat Aldershot	12/5	-£10.00
22/10	Rotherham to beat Macclesfield	8/5	+£16.00
22/10	Luton to beat Bury	10/3	+£33.33
14/10	Brentford to beat Aldershot	19/10	-£10.00
14/10	Port Vale to beat Chester	2/1	+£20.00
09/10	Grimsby to beat Wycombe	11/4	-£10.00
09/10	Barnet to beat Dagenham	9/2	-£10.00
06/10	Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe	6/1	-£10.00
06/10	Dagenham to beat Peterborough	5/1	+£50.00
30/09	Shrewsbury beat Darlington	2/1	-£10.00
30/09	Brentford to beat Macclesfield	8/11	+£7.27
24/09	Bradford to beat Shrewsbury	3/1	-£10.00
24/09	Rotherham to beat Dag & Red	3/1	-£10.00
17/09	Dagenham to beat Wycombe	3/1	-£10.00
17/09	Macclesfield to beat Port Vale	7/2	+£35.00
09/09	Rotherham to beat Rochdale	11/10	-£10.00
09/09	Port Vale to beat Darlington	11/4	-£10.00
04/09	Dag & Red to beat Brentford	12/5	-£10.00
04/09	Rotherham to beat Chesterfield	21/10	-£10.00
28/08	Chester to beat Barnet	17/10	+£17.00
28/08	Rotherham to beat Brentford	21/10	-£10.00
19/08	Lincoln to win at Wycombe	15/4	-£10.00
19/08	Port Vale to beat Dag & Red	21/10	-£10.00
15/08	Bradford to win at Macclesfield	13/10	+£13.00
15/08	Rotherham to win at Morecambe	21/10	+£21.00
06/08	Rochdale to beat Grimsby	17/10	-£10.00
06/08	Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury	4/1	-£10.00
Total			+£54.10

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Price	Buy/Sell	Actual	Profit/Loss
19/11	Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance	25	45	S	+£20.00
31/10	Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance	26	0	S	-£26.00
22/10	Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance	19	10	S	+£9.00
14/10	Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance	14	65	S	-£51.00
09/10	Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance	19	20	S	-£1.00
24/09	Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance	21	10	S	+£11.00
17/09	Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance	30	20	S	-£10.00
09/09	Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance	21	B	55	+£34.00
04/09	Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance	23	S	0	-£23.00
28/08	Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance	38	B	20	+£8.00
19/08	Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance	38	B	55	+£17.00
15/08	Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance	31	S	55	-£24.00
06/08	Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance	20	S	0	+£20.00
Total					-£16.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
19/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	25/1	-£10.00
11/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
06/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
31/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
27/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
22/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	25/1	-£10.00
14/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
09/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
06/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	80/1	-£10.00
30/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
24/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	16/1	-£10.00
17/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
09/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	28/1	-£10.00
04/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
28/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
19/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	22/1	-£10.00
15/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
06/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
Total			-£180.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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