League Two Form Guide

		P	GD	Pts
1	MK Dons	6	+7	15
2	Port Vale	6	+5	15
3	Walsall	6	+6	12
4	Crewe	6	+5	12
5	Cheltenham	6	+2	11
6	Chesterfield	6	+3	10
7	Accrington Stanley	6	+3	9
8	Salford	6	+1	9
9	Doncaster	6	+1	9
10	Notts County	6	0	9
11	Bradford	6	+1	8
12	AFC Wimbledon	6	+2	7
13	Bromley	6	0	7
14	Harrogate Town	6	-1	7
15	Grimsby	6	-4	7
16	Colchester	6	-1	6
17	Carlisle	6	-2	6
18	Fleetwood Town	6	-2	6
19	Newport County	6	-2	6
20	Tranmere	6	-4	6
21	Morecambe	6	-7	6
22	Gillingham	6	-4	4
23	Barrow	6	-4	3
24	Swindon	6	-5	2

Full Form Table
Prem|Champ|L1|NL|VN|VS
SPL|SC|S1|S2

Question of the Week

Is football a business or a sport?

Cheers Darlo!

Beat the Bookies: Week 12

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 22/10/2009

ANOTHER losing week on the Fixed Odds bets last week, but at least nearly all the money was clawed back with a reasonable spread betting win when Darlo beat Shrewsbury.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 12

It's another week this week where a lot of the games are "home bankers". On virtually every occasion at least a couple of these games are not won by the home side, and some are regularly away wins. League Two is very unpredictable. Every team has bad days and if you pick an away winner you'll get something at very backable odds generally. It's just a matter of finding them but let's try anyway.

Rochdale v Accrington Stanley Accrington have had some cracking results recently and the price to beat the Dale, who didn't look that good last week, definitely looks generous at 11/2. Selection: Accrington Stanley

Barnet v Darlington Darlo had a good win last week after the managerial change and face Barnet at Underhill. Barnet looked really good against Grimsby (on the other hand nearly everyone does), but have nosedived ever since. You can bet on Darlo to make it a double at 5/1 with Sky Bet. Selection: Darlington

Bournemouth v Grimsby Grimsby have got no chance of course. Lost their manager, probably lost their captain, they are all at sea. But on the other end you just never know. Perhaps Woodsy might just pull a rabbit out of the hat. Town are available at 6/1. Selection: Grimsby

Notts County v Crewe We keep saying it, but just never do it on the right weeks. Oppose Notts County every week and you will make money. This week Crewe are 11/2 with Sky Bet. Selection: Crewe

Chesterfield v Burton Albion Chesterfield are strong at home and Burton not great away, However Burton are on a roll with three consecutive wins and could do to Chesterfield what they did to Grimsby. You can back Burton at 14/5 Selection: Burton Albion

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

Fixed Odds
Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

1. Darlington to beat Barnet. . (5/1, Sky Bet)
2. Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale. . (11/2, Bet365)

Recommended Spread Bet

Sell Chesterfield mini-performance (30 at extrabet.com)

The Monkey's Bet

Grimsby to win 3-1, 80/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
16/10	Grimsby to beat Rochdale	3/1	-£10.00
16/10	Bradford to beat Dagenham	7/2	-£10.00
08/10	Barnet to beat Rochdale	10/3	-£10.00
08/10	Torquay to beat Notts Co	8/1	-£10.00
02/10	Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield	15/4	-£10.00
02/10	Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe	6/4	-£10.00
25/09	Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals	4/5	+£8.00
25/09	Morecambe to beat Dagenham	5/1	-£10.00
17/09	Man City to beat Man Utd	5/1	-£10.00
17/09	Port Vale to beat Bury	6/5	-£10.00
10/09	Bradford to beat Burton	Evens	-£10.00
10/09	Lincoln to beat Bournemouth	4/1	-£10.00
03/09	Bradford to beat Shrewsbury	5/2	+£25.00
03/09	Chesterfield to beat Rotherham	11/4	-£10.00
27/08	Bury to beat Rochdale	21/10	-£10.00
27/08	Lincoln to beat Dagenham	10/3	-£10.00
20/08	Grimsby to beat Bury	7/5	+£45.00
20/08	Dagenham to beat Notts County	5/1	-£10.00
14/08	Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals	8/11	+£7.27
14/08	Bournemouth to beat Rotherham	7/5	+£14.00
05/08	Bradford to beat Notts County	3/1	-£10.00
05/08	Bournemouth to beat Bury	12/5	+£24.00
01/08	Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)	16/1	Open
01/08	Morecambe to be relegated	11/1	Open
Total			-£37.73

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Price	Buy/Sell	Actual	Profit/Loss
16/10	Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance	28	S	10	+£10.00
25/09	Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance	15	B	10	-£5.00
17/09	Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance	21	B	45	+£24.00
27/08	Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance	33	S	20	+£13.00
20/08	Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance	28	S	30	-£2.00
14/08	Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance	23	S	30	-£7.00
Total					+£51.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
16/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	20/1	-£10.00
08/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	20/1	-£10.00
06/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	66/1	-£10.00
03/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
30/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
25/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	14/1	-£10.00
17/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
10/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	22/1	-£10.00
03/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
27/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
20/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
18/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
15/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
11/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
05/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
Total			-£150.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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