League Two Form Guide

		P	GD	Pts
1	Port Vale	6	+6	16
2	MK Dons	6	+8	13
3	Doncaster	6	+5	13
4	Walsall	6	+5	11
5	Bradford	6	+4	11
6	Crewe	6	+4	11
7	Notts County	6	+3	11
8	Salford	6	+2	11
9	Chesterfield	6	+6	10
10	Cheltenham	6	+1	10
11	Accrington Stanley	6	+1	10
12	Grimsby	6	-5	9
13	AFC Wimbledon	6	+4	7
14	Bromley	6	0	7
15	Newport County	6	-2	7
16	Fleetwood Town	6	+1	6
17	Swindon	6	-1	6
18	Barrow	6	-2	5
19	Tranmere	6	-4	5
20	Harrogate Town	6	-5	5
21	Morecambe	6	-8	4
22	Colchester	6	-6	3
23	Carlisle	6	-9	2
24	Gillingham	6	-7	1

Full Form Table
Prem|Champ|L1|NL|VN|VS
SPL|SC|S1|S2

Question of the Week

Is football a business or a sport?

Cheers Stanley!

Beat the Bookies: Week 13

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 05/11/2009

LAST week there was no Beat the Bookies due to ill health. However the week before was interesting - a £55 fixed odds win was offset by a £45 spread betting loss.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 13

It's the FA Cup this weekend, which is the footballing equivalent to the Grand National - there are long odds available but to pick a winner you need a large slice of luck.

Here are the best bets for non-league upsets in our view.

Accrington v Salisbury City 9/2

Gateshead v Brentford 4/1

Grimsby v Bath 9/2

Hartlepool v Kettering 6/1

Hereford v Sutton 13/2

Northampton v Fleetwood 11/2

Swindon v Woking 7/1

Millwall v AFC Wimbledon 6/1

Of those we'd recommend Gateshead and Salisbury City above all others.

Of the five all-League Two clashes the following two matches stand out.

Notts County v Bradford Notts County won the equivalent league match 5-0 back in August, but don't let that hide the fact that County have been anything but convincing in the past few games. Granted, neither have Bradford, but the bookies consistently overprice Notts County, and good value can be found by betting on whoever they are playing. County's main priority is also the league and they certainly don't need the money from a cup run. Who knocked them out the JPT this year? Bradford. City can be backed at 4/1. Selection: Bradford

Barnet v Darlington Barnet won the equivalent league game 3-0 only last week, where we tipped Darlo to get something from the game. However they've got a second bite at the cherry and will have learned something from last week where it took quite a while for Barnet to score the first goal. Sky Bet once again stick their necks out quite a bit of the other bookies at 11/2 . Selection: Darlington

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

Fixed Odds
Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

1. Darlington to beat Barnet. . (11/2, Sky Bet)
2. Bradford to beat Notts County. . (4/1, Bet365)

Recommended Spread Bet

No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

Grimsby to win 3-1, 11/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
22/10	Darlington to beat Barnet	5/1	-£10.00
22/10	Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale	11/2	+£55.00
16/10	Grimsby to beat Rochdale	3/1	-£10.00
16/10	Bradford to beat Dagenham	7/2	-£10.00
08/10	Barnet to beat Rochdale	10/3	-£10.00
08/10	Torquay to beat Notts Co	8/1	-£10.00
02/10	Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield	15/4	-£10.00
02/10	Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe	6/4	-£10.00
25/09	Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals	4/5	+£8.00
25/09	Morecambe to beat Dagenham	5/1	-£10.00
17/09	Man City to beat Man Utd	5/1	-£10.00
17/09	Port Vale to beat Bury	6/5	-£10.00
10/09	Bradford to beat Burton	Evens	-£10.00
10/09	Lincoln to beat Bournemouth	4/1	-£10.00
03/09	Bradford to beat Shrewsbury	5/2	+£25.00
03/09	Chesterfield to beat Rotherham	11/4	-£10.00
27/08	Bury to beat Rochdale	21/10	-£10.00
27/08	Lincoln to beat Dagenham	10/3	-£10.00
20/08	Grimsby to beat Bury	7/5	+£45.00
20/08	Dagenham to beat Notts County	5/1	-£10.00
14/08	Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals	8/11	+£7.27
14/08	Bournemouth to beat Rotherham	7/5	+£14.00
05/08	Bradford to beat Notts County	3/1	-£10.00
05/08	Bournemouth to beat Bury	12/5	+£24.00
01/08	Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)	16/1	Open
01/08	Morecambe to be relegated	11/1	Open
Total			+£7.27

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Price	Buy/Sell	Actual	Profit/Loss
22/10	Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance	30/td>	S	75	-£45.00
16/10	Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance	28	S	10	+£10.00
25/09	Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance	15	B	10	-£5.00
17/09	Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance	21	B	45	+£24.00
27/08	Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance	33	S	20	+£13.00
20/08	Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance	28	S	30	-£2.00
14/08	Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance	23	S	30	-£7.00
Total					+£6.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
30/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
22/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	80/1	-£10.00
16/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	20/1	-£10.00
08/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	20/1	-£10.00
06/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	66/1	-£10.00
03/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
30/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
25/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	14/1	-£10.00
17/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
10/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	22/1	-£10.00
03/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
27/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
20/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
18/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
15/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
11/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
05/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
Total			-£170.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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