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The lot on Town!
The lot on Town!

Beat the Bookies: Week 19

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 23/12/2009 (Last updated: 14/03/2010)

MORECAMBE fortunately failed to beat Grimsby last Friday, which meant our only tip which survived the weather lost - but it was money well spent!

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 19


Notts County v Grimsby. Can you seriously tip anything but a draw in a match involving Grimsby? Well, yes, actually when you can get odds of 13/2 with Sky Bet on a Town win. The evidence of the recent weeks are that Grimsby are improving. As for Notts County, well events there recently must have been a body blow and their last result at home to Accrington on top of some other iffy results can only suggest that their form may be starting to dip too. Selection: Grimsby Rotherham v Darlington. Darlo have been dire recently and Rotherham are in terrific form. But it's Boxing Day! The odds on anything but a home win are almost unprecedented in League Two. You can get 11/1 with Sky Bet on a Darlo win and a draw is as long as 9/2. Believe it or not the form of the two teams going into a game make very little difference historically to the chances of a draw, so you have to question the odds makers on this one. Selection: Draw Northampton v Dag & Red. Dagenham have stuttered recently and are not picking up many wins at all now, especially away from home. Northampton are hardly firing on all cylinders but recent form hardly suggests that Dagenham should start out favourites to win this at Sixfields. Take a home win at 7/4 Selection: Northampton Shrewsbury v Macclesfield. Shrewsbury have been abysmal recently and Grimsby really should have beaten them when they played recently. Listening to the commentary in their 4-0 drubbing by Rochdale the other day they seem to be at a real low. Macclesfield at 4/1 with Sky Bet have not been doing especially well either but they've won recently at Cheltenham and Darlo, so are capable of wins on their travels. Selection: Macclesfield

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.


Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Notts County. . (13/2, Sky Bet)
  • 2. Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury. . (4/1, Sky Bet)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 80/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
16/12Accrington to beat BarnetEvens£0.00
16/12Morecambe to beat GrimsbyEvens-£10.00
10/12Accrington to beat Notts County7/1+£70.00
10/12Darlington to beat Torquay5/1-£10.00
03/12Grimsby to beat Dagenham5/2-£10.00
03/12Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth15/4-£10.00
20/11Grimsby to beat Lincoln11/4-£20.00
13/11Grimsby to beat Northampton9/2-£10.00
13/11Torquay to beat Shrewsbury7/2-£10.00
05/11Darlington to beat Barnet11/2-£10.00
05/11Bradford to beat Notts County4/1-£10.00
22/10Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale11/2+£55.00
22/10Darlington to beat Barnet5/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to beat Rochdale3/1-£10.00
16/10Bradford to beat Dagenham7/2-£10.00
08/10Barnet to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
08/10Torquay to beat Notts Co8/1-£10.00
02/10Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield15/4-£10.00
02/10Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe6/4-£10.00
25/09Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals4/5+£8.00
25/09Morecambe to beat Dagenham5/1-£10.00
17/09Man City to beat Man Utd5/1-£10.00
17/09Port Vale to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
10/09Bradford to beat BurtonEvens-£10.00
10/09Lincoln to beat Bournemouth4/1-£10.00
03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total -£32.73


Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetPriceBuy/SellActualProfit/Loss
10/12Macclesfield v Hereford: Sell Macclesfield mini-performance24/td>S55-£31.00
22/10Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance30/td>S75-£45.00
16/10Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance28S10+£10.00
25/09Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance15B10-£5.00
17/09Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance21B45+£24.00
27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total -£25.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
16/12Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
10/12Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/12Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
28/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
24/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
21/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
13/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
10/11Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/11Grimsby to win 3-111/1-£10.00
30/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
08/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
25/09Grimsby to win 3-114/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
10/09Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£260.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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