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Beat the Bookies: Week 23
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 29/01/2010
LAST week was honours even. The money won with Morecambe's last minute winner at Darlo exactly cancelled out that lost when Town failed to win at Rotherham.
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Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 19 |
Aldershot v Grimsby. Town have seriously strengthened their side in the last few days. Have the bookies taken this into account. Maybe not. You can get Town at 5/1 with 888sport.com. Selection: Grimsby
Lincoln v Dagenham. City have put some decent results together in recent weeks, whereas Daggers have really dropped away from the promotion picture. You can back City at 15/8. Selection: Lincoln
Rotherham v Macclesfield. Macclesfield are a difficult side to beat and could give Rotherham a real test at the Don Valley. Rotherham slipped up at home to Darlo and played OK against us but are still beatable. Macclesfield are 5/1 Selection: Macclesfield
Bury v Rochdale. Rochdale could only manage a 0-0 draw the other night but they should have won so it can only be regarded as a blip. Both sides are playing well but Dale look like winning every game and 6/4 looks generous for an away win. Selection: Rochdale
This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
- 1. Grimsby to beat Aldershot. . (5/1, 888 Sport)
- 2. Lincoln to beat Dagenham. . (15/8, Bet365)
Recommended Spread Bet
- No bet this week
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 80/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
| Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01 | Morecambe to beat Barnet | Evens | +£10.00 |
| 23/01 | Grimsby to beat Rotherham | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/01 | Crewe to beat Dagenham | ? | -£10.00 |
| 16/01 | Torquay to beat Chesterfield | ? | -£10.00 |
| 24/12 | Grimsby to beat Notts County | 13/2 | £0.00 |
| 24/12 | Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/12 | Accrington to beat Barnet | Evens | £0.00 |
| 16/12 | Morecambe to beat Grimsby | Evens | -£10.00 |
| 10/12 | Accrington to beat Notts County | 7/1 | +£70.00 |
| 10/12 | Darlington to beat Torquay | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/12 | Grimsby to beat Dagenham | 5/2 | -£10.00 |
| 03/12 | Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
| 20/11 | Grimsby to beat Lincoln | 11/4 | -£20.00 |
| 13/11 | Grimsby to beat Northampton | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
| 13/11 | Torquay to beat Shrewsbury | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
| 05/11 | Darlington to beat Barnet | 11/2 | -£10.00 |
| 05/11 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
| 22/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
| 22/10 | Darlington to beat Barnet | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/10 | Grimsby to beat Rochdale | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/10 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
| 08/10 | Barnet to beat Rochdale | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
| 08/10 | Torquay to beat Notts Co | 8/1 | -£10.00 |
| 02/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
| 02/10 | Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe | 6/4 | -£10.00 |
| 25/09 | Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals | 4/5 | +£8.00 |
| 25/09 | Morecambe to beat Dagenham | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 17/09 | Man City to beat Man Utd | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 17/09 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 6/5 | -£10.00 |
| 10/09 | Bradford to beat Burton | Evens | -£10.00 |
| 10/09 | Lincoln to beat Bournemouth | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 5/2 | +£25.00 |
| 03/09 | Chesterfield to beat Rotherham | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
| 27/08 | Bury to beat Rochdale | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
| 27/08 | Lincoln to beat Dagenham | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
| 20/08 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 7/5 | +£45.00 |
| 20/08 | Dagenham to beat Notts County | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 14/08 | Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
| 14/08 | Bournemouth to beat Rotherham | 7/5 | +£14.00 |
| 05/08 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
| 05/08 | Bournemouth to beat Bury | 12/5 | +£24.00 |
| 01/08 | Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW) | 16/1 | Open |
| 01/08 | Morecambe to be relegated | 11/1 | Open |
| Total | -£62.73 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
| Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12 | Macclesfield v Hereford: Sell Macclesfield mini-performance | 24/td> | S | 55 | -£31.00 |
| 22/10 | Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 30/td> | S | 75 | -£45.00 |
| 16/10 | Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance | 28 | S | 10 | +£10.00 |
| 25/09 | Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance | 15 | B | 10 | -£5.00 |
| 17/09 | Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance | 21 | B | 45 | +£24.00 |
| 27/08 | Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 33 | S | 20 | +£13.00 |
| 20/08 | Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance | 28 | S | 30 | -£2.00 |
| 14/08 | Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance | 23 | S | 30 | -£7.00 |
| Total | -£25.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
| Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 02/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 28/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
| 10/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 28/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 24/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 21/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 13/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 10/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
| 05/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 11/1 | -£10.00 |
| 30/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| 22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
| 08/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
| 06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
| 30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
| 25/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 14/1 | -£10.00 |
| 17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| 10/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| 27/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
| 20/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
| 18/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
| 15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
| 11/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 05/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| Total | -£300.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
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