League Two Form Guide

		P	GD	Pts
1	Port Vale	6	+6	16
2	MK Dons	6	+8	13
3	Doncaster	6	+5	13
4	Walsall	6	+5	11
5	Bradford	6	+4	11
6	Crewe	6	+4	11
7	Notts County	6	+3	11
8	Salford	6	+2	11
9	Chesterfield	6	+6	10
10	Cheltenham	6	+1	10
11	Accrington Stanley	6	+1	10
12	Grimsby	6	-5	9
13	AFC Wimbledon	6	+4	7
14	Bromley	6	0	7
15	Newport County	6	-2	7
16	Fleetwood Town	6	+1	6
17	Swindon	6	-1	6
18	Barrow	6	-2	5
19	Tranmere	6	-4	5
20	Harrogate Town	6	-5	5
21	Morecambe	6	-8	4
22	Colchester	6	-6	3
23	Carlisle	6	-9	2
24	Gillingham	6	-7	1

Full Form Table
Prem|Champ|L1|NL|VN|VS
SPL|SC|S1|S2

Question of the Week

Is football a business or a sport?

Where to this week?

Beat the Bookies: Week 24

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 05/02/2010

ADAM Proudlock's penalty miss not only cost the Mariners two precious points, it also cost Beat the Bookies a near certain fifty quid. With yet another postponement at Lincoln it means that the other bet had no chance of making up the deficit.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 19

Chesterfield v Lincoln. Lincoln have had some decent results recently and when they have lost it has been narrowly. Chesterfield's biggest problem is scoring; their games have been very low scoring of late. This looks like a low scoring game, and it could be close. 11/2 for an away win looks very generous. Selection: Lincoln

Grimsby v Notts County. Grimsby surely can't win this, or can they? County are on fire, doing well in the league and FA Cup, and their off the field problems don't seem to be having too much effect so far. So why are we tipping Grimsby to win? Because they are 4/1, a ridiculous price for a home team in this division. Town almost won away at Aldershot this week and have Lancashire in the squad now as well. The home win has to be the value bet in this game. Selection: Grimsby

Dag & Red v Northampton. Northampton have won their last three away games; Dagenham have lost 4 out of 6 home games, many of them heavily. Dagenham at the moment seem a team on the down, the Cobblers a team on the up. 9/4 looks a very good price for an away win. Selection: Northampton

Barnet v Aldershot. Barnet cannot win for love or money at the moment and it's worth backing whoever they are playing. Aldershot looked a solid team on their second half performance last weekend and 6/4 is a good price against a team bottom of the form table. Selection: Aldershot

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

Fixed Odds
Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

1. Northampton to beat Dagenham. . (9/4, Bet365)
2. Aldershot to beat Barnet. . (6/4, Bet365)

Recommended Spread Bet

No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

Grimsby to win 3-1, 50/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
29/01	Grimsby to beat Aldershot	5/1	-£10.00
29/01	Lincoln to beat Dagenham	13/2	£0.00
23/01	Morecambe to beat Barnet	Evens	+£10.00
23/01	Grimsby to beat Rotherham	5/1	-£10.00
16/01	Crewe to beat Dagenham	?	-£10.00
16/01	Torquay to beat Chesterfield	?	-£10.00
24/12	Grimsby to beat Notts County	13/2	£0.00
24/12	Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury	4/1	-£10.00
16/12	Accrington to beat Barnet	Evens	£0.00
16/12	Morecambe to beat Grimsby	Evens	-£10.00
10/12	Accrington to beat Notts County	7/1	+£70.00
10/12	Darlington to beat Torquay	5/1	-£10.00
03/12	Grimsby to beat Dagenham	5/2	-£10.00
03/12	Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth	15/4	-£10.00
20/11	Grimsby to beat Lincoln	11/4	-£20.00
13/11	Grimsby to beat Northampton	9/2	-£10.00
13/11	Torquay to beat Shrewsbury	7/2	-£10.00
05/11	Darlington to beat Barnet	11/2	-£10.00
05/11	Bradford to beat Notts County	4/1	-£10.00
22/10	Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale	11/2	+£55.00
22/10	Darlington to beat Barnet	5/1	-£10.00
16/10	Grimsby to beat Rochdale	3/1	-£10.00
16/10	Bradford to beat Dagenham	7/2	-£10.00
08/10	Barnet to beat Rochdale	10/3	-£10.00
08/10	Torquay to beat Notts Co	8/1	-£10.00
02/10	Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield	15/4	-£10.00
02/10	Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe	6/4	-£10.00
25/09	Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals	4/5	+£8.00
25/09	Morecambe to beat Dagenham	5/1	-£10.00
17/09	Man City to beat Man Utd	5/1	-£10.00
17/09	Port Vale to beat Bury	6/5	-£10.00
10/09	Bradford to beat Burton	Evens	-£10.00
10/09	Lincoln to beat Bournemouth	4/1	-£10.00
03/09	Bradford to beat Shrewsbury	5/2	+£25.00
03/09	Chesterfield to beat Rotherham	11/4	-£10.00
27/08	Bury to beat Rochdale	21/10	-£10.00
27/08	Lincoln to beat Dagenham	10/3	-£10.00
20/08	Grimsby to beat Bury	7/5	+£45.00
20/08	Dagenham to beat Notts County	5/1	-£10.00
14/08	Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals	8/11	+£7.27
14/08	Bournemouth to beat Rotherham	7/5	+£14.00
05/08	Bradford to beat Notts County	3/1	-£10.00
05/08	Bournemouth to beat Bury	12/5	+£24.00
01/08	Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)	16/1	Open
01/08	Morecambe to be relegated	11/1	Open
Total			-£72.73

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Price	Buy/Sell	Actual	Profit/Loss
10/12	Macclesfield v Hereford: Sell Macclesfield mini-performance	24/td>	S	55	-£31.00
22/10	Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance	30/td>	S	75	-£45.00
16/10	Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance	28	S	10	+£10.00
25/09	Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance	15	B	10	-£5.00
17/09	Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance	21	B	45	+£24.00
27/08	Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance	33	S	20	+£13.00
20/08	Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance	28	S	30	-£2.00
14/08	Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance	23	S	30	-£7.00
Total					-£25.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
29/01	Grimsby to win 3-1	80/1	-£10.00
23/01	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
16/01	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
02/01	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
28/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
16/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	66/1	-£10.00
10/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	66/1	-£10.00
03/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
28/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
24/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
21/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
13/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
10/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	80/1	-£10.00
05/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	11/1	-£10.00
30/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
22/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	80/1	-£10.00
16/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	20/1	-£10.00
08/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	20/1	-£10.00
06/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	66/1	-£10.00
03/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
30/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
25/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	14/1	-£10.00
17/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
10/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	22/1	-£10.00
03/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
27/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
20/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
18/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
15/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
11/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	??/1	-£10.00
05/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
Total			-£310.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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