Cheers Lincoln! |
Beat the Bookies Boxing Day Special
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 23/12/2008
ANOTHER small profit was made last week when Notts County lost to Lincoln. Had Grimsby held on to beat Aldershot it would have been a larger take. This week we have a Boxing Day special with FOUR fixed odds recommendations.
Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 21 |
Chesterfield v Luton Chesterfield have to play an FA Cup tie less than 72 hours before this game kicks off. The fact that their recent form is patchy and Luton are unbeaten in the last four and desperately need to win means an away win is more likely than if this were a normal Saturday game. Luton are a good price at 14/5 for the away win. Selection: Luton.
Rotherham v Port Vale. Rotherham have had a terrible run of late until they finally managed to win a game on Saturday against another desperately out of form side - Accrington. They face another out of form team this week in Port Vale. However you wouldn't be overconfident of another Rotherham win, and the odds for an away win look too long (4/1, Sky Bet). Selection: Port Vale.
Brentford v Bournemouth. Bournemouth are starting to find form and have gone six games without defeat. It's easy to think of the Cherries as a relegation side but their actual points tally is that of a mid-table side within spitting distance of the play-offs. Brentford are having a good season, granted, but look overpriced to win at home, and Bournemouth underpriced (9/2 Sky Bet). Selection: Bournemouth
Lincoln v Bradford Bradford have dropped a lot of points of late and this week come up against a team who have won their last two games. However those last two games were against Notts County and Accrington and the Imps have struggled of late against decent opposition. City are a decent price (15/8) this week because of their lack of recent form and are well worth backing. Selection: Bradford.
Dag & Red v Gillingham Dagenham have been a revelation this season and now have the best goal difference in the division. As with other fixtures this week however the bookies do have a tendency to overprice home sides. The Gills will probably take as many fans to the game as Dagenham can muster and with decent form themselves are more than capable of an "upset" (11/5). Selection: Gillingham.
Wycombe v Exeter Same story as in many other fixtures this week. Decent away team, home team in form, bookies overprice (4/1) the home team as that's where 90% of the money goes. We recommend the away team. Selection: Exeter.
Rochdale v Shrewsbury Shrewsbury have hardly won away this season, but on the other hand they have lost very few, with most of their games being draws. Their home form suggests they have underachieved away rather than the other way round. Rochdale have only one of the last ten games and got walloped last week by Exeter. Shrews (9/4) to do what they failed to do at Blundell Park last week and come home with three points. Selection: Shrewsbury.
This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds - as per last year
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
- 1. Luton to beat Chesterfield. (14/5 Bet365),
- 2. Port Vale to beat Rotherham. (4/1 Sky Bet),
- 3. Bournemouth to beat Brentford. (9/2 Sky Bet),
- 4. Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale. (9/4 Bet365),.
Recommended Spread Bet
-
No bet this week.
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 16/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
16/12 | Grimsby to beat Aldershot | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
16/12 | Lincoln to beat Notts County | 7/4 | +£17.50 |
11/12 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
11/12 | Bournemouth to beat Rochdale | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Bournemouth to beat Chester | Evens | +£10.00 |
04/12 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 10/11 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Aldershot beat Millwall | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Alferton beat Scunthorpe | 17/2 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Notts Co to beat Dagenham | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Gillingham to beat Bury | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 9/2 | +£45.00 |
11/11 | Gillingham to beat Rotherham | 5/4 | +£12.50 |
06/11 | Northampton to beat Leeds | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to beat Morecambe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Bradford to beat MK Dons | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
31/10 | Dagenham to beat Accrington | 5/6 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Luton to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to beat Dagenham | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Port Vale to beat Aldershot | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Rotherham to beat Macclesfield | 8/5 | +£16.00 |
22/10 | Luton to beat Bury | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
14/10 | Brentford to beat Aldershot | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Port Vale to beat Chester | 2/1 | +£20.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to beat Wycombe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Barnet to beat Dagenham | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe | 6/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Dagenham to beat Peterborough | 5/1 | +£50.00 |
30/09 | Shrewsbury beat Darlington | 2/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Brentford to beat Macclesfield | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
24/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Rotherham to beat Dag & Red | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Dagenham to beat Wycombe | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Macclesfield to beat Port Vale | 7/2 | +£35.00 |
09/09 | Rotherham to beat Rochdale | 11/10 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Port Vale to beat Darlington | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Dag & Red to beat Brentford | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Rotherham to beat Chesterfield | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Chester to beat Barnet | 17/10 | +£17.00 |
28/08 | Rotherham to beat Brentford | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Lincoln to win at Wycombe | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Port Vale to beat Dag & Red | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Bradford to win at Macclesfield | 13/10 | +£13.00 |
15/08 | Rotherham to win at Morecambe | 21/10 | +£21.00 |
06/08 | Rochdale to beat Grimsby | 17/10 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | +£74.93 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance | 21 | 10 | B | -£6.00 |
04/12 | Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance | 21 | 55 | S | -£34.00 |
19/11 | Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance | 25 | 45 | S | +£20.00 |
31/10 | Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance | 26 | 0 | S | -£26.00 |
22/10 | Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance | 19 | 10 | S | +£9.00 |
14/10 | Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance | 14 | 65 | S | -£51.00 |
09/10 | Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 19 | 20 | S | -£1.00 |
24/09 | Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 21 | 10 | S | +£11.00 |
17/09 | Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance | 30 | 20 | S | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance | 21 | B | 55 | +£34.00 |
04/09 | Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance | 23 | S | 0 | -£23.00 |
28/08 | Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 38 | B | 20 | +£8.00 |
19/08 | Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance | 38 | B | 55 | +£17.00 |
15/08 | Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 31 | S | 55 | -£24.00 |
06/08 | Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance | 20 | S | 0 | +£20.00 |
Total | -£56.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
17/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 16/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | -£210.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
This site is by the fans, for the fans, and we will consider articles on any subject relating to the Mariners whether it be related to current news, a nostalgic look back in the past, a story about a player, a game or games in the past, something about Blundell Park or football in general. Click here to submit your article!
Related Stories
Thread Title | Posts | Latest Post | |
---|---|---|---|
Vale v Crewe | 3 | Running like emson | 25/11 21:18 |
JANUARY TRANSFER WINDOW | 90 | jamesgtfc | 25/11 21:05 |
Just Back | 220 | gtfc_chris | 25/11 18:49 |
Comparison end of 2019 and 2024 | 15 | Northbank Mariner | 25/11 18:18 |
Swindon Appoint Holloway | 168 | BobbyCummingsTackle | 25/11 12:03 |
Football Twit of the Week 🎖 | 5 | promotion plaice | 25/11 09:55 |
TV Games/Upcoming Fixtures | 3 | SiteBot | 25/11 03:30 |
Racist Scum Bag | 18 | mariner tommy | 24/11 22:38 |