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Player	Rating
Jordan Davies	6.9
Callum Storr	6.5
Doug Tharme	6.5
Harvey Cribb	6.5
Cameron McJannet	6.3
Henry Brown	6.2
Donovan Wilson	5.9
George McEachran	5.9
Evan Khouri	5.9
Luca Barrington	5.8
Jake Eastwood	5.8

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Question of the Week

Is football a business or a sport?

Counting the Cost!

Beat the Bookies: Week 21

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 31/12/2008

BOXING DAY is best forgotten as all four of Beat the Bookies's Christmas tips lost and Grimsby of course got beaten at home by Notts County.

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 21

This week with the FA Cup Third Round on sees a slightly reduced League Two programme.

Barnet v Grimsby The big match at the bottom of the table is Barnet v Town. Both clubs would dearly like to win this game to boost their hopes of avoiding the drop. Barnet, who of course sacked their manager last week, had a great win at Bournemouth on Saturday. Town could well be fielding a new player or two with the match falling in January so all in all it is a bit unpredictable. At the time of writing a home win at 6/5 looks the best value, but otherwise this is a fixture to leave well alone with all three prices being short odds.

Rochdale v Accrington Stanley. Both clubs have had poor runs recently, with Dale perhaps a little better than their Lancashire rivals. However Stanley will be boosted by the win against Town on Saturday and have always got an extra chance in a local derby game. A home win is obviously the most likely result, but the 5/1 listed for an away win looks more than generous. Selection: Away Win

Aldershot v Notts County. This is another match which looks like a home banker and that's where all the money will be going. However Aldershot lost last week to Dagenham at the Recreation Ground and County of course won their last away game at Blundell Park. County had a few players out injured when they played Town and some of them may well be available for selection again by now. All in all the price for an away win looks tempting at 4/1. Selection: Away Win

Darlington v Bournemouth. Darlo have crumbled of late and are bottom of the form table. Bournemouth are really a mid-table side (despite their league position) and at the moment they rarely lose. 4/1 for an away win has to be one of the bets of a week against a side who have not won for ages. Selection: Away Win

Exeter v Port Vale. This falls in a similar category to the previous two games. There's little to choose between the two clubs recently. Exeter are always strong at home but Vale could easily come away with all three points. They can be backed at 10/3. Selection: Away Win

This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

Fixed Odds - as per last year
Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).

Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

1. Accrington to beat Rochdale. (5/1 Bet365),

2. Bournemouth to beat Darlington. (4/1 Bet365),

Recommended Spread Bet

No bet this week.

The Monkey's Bet

Grimsby to win 3-1, 28/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
23/12	Luton to beat Chesterfield	14/5	-£10.00
23/12	Port Vale to beat Rotherham	4/1	-£10.00
23/12	Bournemouth to beat Brentford	9/2	-£10.00
23/12	Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale	9/4	-£10.00
16/12	Grimsby to beat Aldershot	9/2	-£10.00
16/12	Lincoln to beat Notts County	7/4	+£17.50
11/12	Port Vale to beat Bury	10/3	-£10.00
11/12	Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield	10/3	+£33.33
11/12	Bournemouth to beat Rochdale	4/1	-£10.00
04/12	Bournemouth to beat Chester	Evens	+£10.00
04/12	Bradford to beat Dagenham	10/11	-£10.00
28/11	Aldershot beat Millwall	13/2	-£10.00
28/11	Alferton beat Scunthorpe	17/2	-£10.00
19/11	Notts Co to beat Dagenham	12/5	-£10.00
19/11	Gillingham to beat Bury	19/10	-£10.00
11/11	Grimsby to beat Bury	9/2	+£45.00
11/11	Gillingham to beat Rotherham	5/4	+£12.50
06/11	Northampton to beat Leeds	13/2	-£10.00
06/11	Grimsby to beat Morecambe	11/4	-£10.00
06/11	Bradford to beat MK Dons	11/2	+£55.00
31/10	Dagenham to beat Accrington	5/6	-£10.00
31/10	Luton to beat Shrewsbury	4/1	-£10.00
27/10	Grimsby to beat Dagenham	4/1	-£10.00
27/10	Port Vale to beat Aldershot	12/5	-£10.00
22/10	Rotherham to beat Macclesfield	8/5	+£16.00
22/10	Luton to beat Bury	10/3	+£33.33
14/10	Brentford to beat Aldershot	19/10	-£10.00
14/10	Port Vale to beat Chester	2/1	+£20.00
09/10	Grimsby to beat Wycombe	11/4	-£10.00
09/10	Barnet to beat Dagenham	9/2	-£10.00
06/10	Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe	6/1	-£10.00
06/10	Dagenham to beat Peterborough	5/1	+£50.00
30/09	Shrewsbury beat Darlington	2/1	-£10.00
30/09	Brentford to beat Macclesfield	8/11	+£7.27
24/09	Bradford to beat Shrewsbury	3/1	-£10.00
24/09	Rotherham to beat Dag & Red	3/1	-£10.00
17/09	Dagenham to beat Wycombe	3/1	-£10.00
17/09	Macclesfield to beat Port Vale	7/2	+£35.00
09/09	Rotherham to beat Rochdale	11/10	-£10.00
09/09	Port Vale to beat Darlington	11/4	-£10.00
04/09	Dag & Red to beat Brentford	12/5	-£10.00
04/09	Rotherham to beat Chesterfield	21/10	-£10.00
28/08	Chester to beat Barnet	17/10	+£17.00
28/08	Rotherham to beat Brentford	21/10	-£10.00
19/08	Lincoln to win at Wycombe	15/4	-£10.00
19/08	Port Vale to beat Dag & Red	21/10	-£10.00
15/08	Bradford to win at Macclesfield	13/10	+£13.00
15/08	Rotherham to win at Morecambe	21/10	+£21.00
06/08	Rochdale to beat Grimsby	17/10	-£10.00
06/08	Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury	4/1	-£10.00
Total			+£34.93

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

Date	Bet	Price	Buy/Sell	Actual	Profit/Loss
04/12	Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance	21	10	B	-£6.00
04/12	Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance	21	55	S	-£34.00
19/11	Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance	25	45	S	+£20.00
31/10	Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance	26	0	S	-£26.00
22/10	Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance	19	10	S	+£9.00
14/10	Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance	14	65	S	-£51.00
09/10	Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance	19	20	S	-£1.00
24/09	Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance	21	10	S	+£11.00
17/09	Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance	30	20	S	-£10.00
09/09	Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance	21	B	55	+£34.00
04/09	Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance	23	S	0	-£23.00
28/08	Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance	38	B	20	+£8.00
19/08	Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance	38	B	55	+£17.00
15/08	Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance	31	S	55	-£24.00
06/08	Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance	20	S	0	+£20.00
Total					-£56.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

Date	Bet	Odds	Profit/Loss
23/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	16/1	-£10.00
17/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
11/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	28/1	-£10.00
04/12	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
19/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	25/1	-£10.00
11/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	50/1	-£10.00
06/11	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
31/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
27/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
22/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	25/1	-£10.00
14/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
09/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
06/10	Grimsby to win 3-1	80/1	-£10.00
30/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
24/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	16/1	-£10.00
17/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
09/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	28/1	-£10.00
04/09	Grimsby to win 3-1	40/1	-£10.00
28/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
19/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	22/1	-£10.00
15/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	33/1	-£10.00
06/08	Grimsby to win 3-1	18/1	-£10.00
Total			-£220.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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