Due a win! |
Beat the Bookies: Week 22
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 06/01/2009
TWO late goals by Darlo against Bournemouth might have done Grimsby Town a favour however they cost Beat the Bookies a much needed winner and meant that both last week's tips lost!
Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 22 |
Macclesfield v Port Vale There's not much to separate the two sides in recent games and both sides look destined for a dull second half of the season with little to play for. The bookies favour Macclesfield who won at Port Vale a few weeks ago in the cup, but the Silkmen could well be suffering a cup hangover themselves after their heroics against Everton and Vale are worth a punt with Sky Bet at 12/5. Selection: Away Win
Notts County v Exeter Exeter are having a great season and rarely lose home or away. The bookies cannot split the two sides, but County have lost four from five, and the other game was an undeserved win at Grimsby. City should pick up another three points. (6/4 Bet365) Selection: Away Win
Accrington Stanley v Darlington. Darlo finally got a win last week against Bournemouth and face another side who have lost every game recently apart from a win against Grimsby! Darlo should likewise pick up another three points. (6/4 Bet365). Selection: Away Win
Bournemouth v Bradford Two inconsistent sides face each other at Dean Court, with both sides looking to win for different reasons. City draw too many games but are clinging onto a promotion place mainly due to the teams around them losing. Bournemouth's response to the board and managerial changes remains to be seen, but with City's squad and support they are always worth backing at odds of (6/4 Bet365) against a team who have lost their last three games. Selection: Away Win
Bury v Barnet They may be at opposite ends of the table but in recent games Barnet have picked up more points than Bury. OK Bury may have been playing the top teams during that time, but Barnet's 2-0 win at Bournemouth straight after dismissing Paul Fairclough is a hint of better times to come and they may well be worth a speculative bet at 9/2 Bet365 Selection: Away Win
This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds - as per last year
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
- 1. Exeter to beat Notts County . (6/4, Bet365),
- 2. Bradford to beat Bournemouth. (6/4, Bet365),
Recommended Spread Bet
-
No bet this week.
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 18/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
Date Bet Odds Profit/Loss 31/12 Accrington to beat Rochdale 5/1 -£10.00 31/12 Bournemouth to beat Darlington 4/1 -£10.00 23/12 Luton to beat Chesterfield 14/5 -£10.00 23/12 Port Vale to beat Rotherham 4/1 -£10.00 23/12 Bournemouth to beat Brentford 9/2 -£10.00 23/12 Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale 9/4 -£10.00 16/12 Grimsby to beat Aldershot 9/2 -£10.00 16/12 Lincoln to beat Notts County 7/4 +£17.50 11/12 Port Vale to beat Bury 10/3 -£10.00 11/12 Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield 10/3 +£33.33 11/12 Bournemouth to beat Rochdale 4/1 -£10.00 04/12 Bournemouth to beat Chester Evens +£10.00 04/12 Bradford to beat Dagenham 10/11 -£10.00 28/11 Aldershot beat Millwall 13/2 -£10.00 28/11 Alferton beat Scunthorpe 17/2 -£10.00 19/11 Notts Co to beat Dagenham 12/5 -£10.00 19/11 Gillingham to beat Bury 19/10 -£10.00 11/11 Grimsby to beat Bury 9/2 +£45.00 11/11 Gillingham to beat Rotherham 5/4 +£12.50 06/11 Northampton to beat Leeds 13/2 -£10.00 06/11 Grimsby to beat Morecambe 11/4 -£10.00 06/11 Bradford to beat MK Dons 11/2 +£55.00 31/10 Dagenham to beat Accrington 5/6 -£10.00 31/10 Luton to beat Shrewsbury 4/1 -£10.00 27/10 Grimsby to beat Dagenham 4/1 -£10.00 27/10 Port Vale to beat Aldershot 12/5 -£10.00 22/10 Rotherham to beat Macclesfield 8/5 +£16.00 22/10 Luton to beat Bury 10/3 +£33.33 14/10 Brentford to beat Aldershot 19/10 -£10.00 14/10 Port Vale to beat Chester 2/1 +£20.00 09/10 Grimsby to beat Wycombe 11/4 -£10.00 09/10 Barnet to beat Dagenham 9/2 -£10.00 06/10 Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe 6/1 -£10.00 06/10 Dagenham to beat Peterborough 5/1 +£50.00 30/09 Shrewsbury beat Darlington 2/1 -£10.00 30/09 Brentford to beat Macclesfield 8/11 +£7.27 24/09 Bradford to beat Shrewsbury 3/1 -£10.00 24/09 Rotherham to beat Dag & Red 3/1 -£10.00 17/09 Dagenham to beat Wycombe 3/1 -£10.00 17/09 Macclesfield to beat Port Vale 7/2 +£35.00 09/09 Rotherham to beat Rochdale 11/10 -£10.00 09/09 Port Vale to beat Darlington 11/4 -£10.00 04/09 Dag & Red to beat Brentford 12/5 -£10.00 04/09 Rotherham to beat Chesterfield 21/10 -£10.00 28/08 Chester to beat Barnet 17/10 +£17.00 28/08 Rotherham to beat Brentford 21/10 -£10.00 19/08 Lincoln to win at Wycombe 15/4 -£10.00 19/08 Port Vale to beat Dag & Red 21/10 -£10.00 15/08 Bradford to win at Macclesfield 13/10 +£13.00 15/08 Rotherham to win at Morecambe 21/10 +£21.00 06/08 Rochdale to beat Grimsby 17/10 -£10.00 06/08 Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury 4/1 -£10.00 Total +£14.93 Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
Date Bet Price Buy/Sell Actual Profit/Loss 04/12 Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance 21 10 B -£6.00 04/12 Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance 21 55 S -£34.00 19/11 Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance 25 45 S +£20.00 31/10 Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance 26 0 S -£26.00 22/10 Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance 19 10 S +£9.00 14/10 Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance 14 65 S -£51.00 09/10 Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance 19 20 S -£1.00 24/09 Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance 21 10 S +£11.00 17/09 Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance 30 20 S -£10.00 09/09 Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance 21 B 55 +£34.00 04/09 Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance 23 S 0 -£23.00 28/08 Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance 38 B 20 +£8.00 19/08 Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance 38 B 55 +£17.00 15/08 Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance 31 S 55 -£24.00 06/08 Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance 20 S 0 +£20.00 Total -£56.00 Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
Date Bet Odds Profit/Loss 31/12 Grimsby to win 3-1 28/1 -£10.00 23/12 Grimsby to win 3-1 16/1 -£10.00 17/12 Grimsby to win 3-1 40/1 -£10.00 11/12 Grimsby to win 3-1 28/1 -£10.00 04/12 Grimsby to win 3-1 33/1 -£10.00 19/11 Grimsby to win 3-1 25/1 -£10.00 11/11 Grimsby to win 3-1 50/1 -£10.00 06/11 Grimsby to win 3-1 33/1 -£10.00 31/10 Grimsby to win 3-1 33/1 -£10.00 27/10 Grimsby to win 3-1 40/1 -£10.00 22/10 Grimsby to win 3-1 25/1 -£10.00 14/10 Grimsby to win 3-1 40/1 -£10.00 09/10 Grimsby to win 3-1 33/1 -£10.00 06/10 Grimsby to win 3-1 80/1 -£10.00 30/09 Grimsby to win 3-1 40/1 -£10.00 24/09 Grimsby to win 3-1 16/1 -£10.00 17/09 Grimsby to win 3-1 33/1 -£10.00 09/09 Grimsby to win 3-1 28/1 -£10.00 04/09 Grimsby to win 3-1 40/1 -£10.00 28/08 Grimsby to win 3-1 33/1 -£10.00 19/08 Grimsby to win 3-1 22/1 -£10.00 15/08 Grimsby to win 3-1 33/1 -£10.00 06/08 Grimsby to win 3-1 18/1 -£10.00 Total -£230.00 Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
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